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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 229  0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Pujols will be amongst the league leaders in average, runs, homeruns, and RBI. In fact, he finished in the top three in the National League in each of those four categories in 2009. His ability to post double digit steals makes him that much more valuable. With Matt Holliday in the line-up for a full season in 2010, Pujols could even have a career year. .335-120-45-130-15 in 570 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
The Cards' line-up is good, but not great, which will prevent his RBI and run totals from truly shooting through the roof. I guess he could steal more bases. .300-100-35-110-5 in 540 AB |
Analysis:
In a draft, it is advised to take Pujols with the first pick. An argument can be made for going with Hanley Ramirez due to position scarcity, but Pujols is the safer pick and will outproduce Ramirez. In an auction, be willing to pay face value for him. As long as you don't significantly overpay, he will be worth every dollar you spend. In any league, he is the type of guy you build your team around. .320-115-40-120-10 in 560 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 1 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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49 |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 163 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Prince has AVERAGED 40 dingers per season, and he's AVERAGED 111 RBI. Yet the man is only 26 years old in May. He's supposed to get better than this. The loss of Felipe Lopez and Mike Cameron might make some difference, but it's unlikely to be significant. The addition of Carlos Gomez and a full-time Alcides Escobar add a speed element to the batting order and might help Prince see even more pitches. .295-105-50-145-3 in 600 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
If Ryan Braun regresses off his fine season and Gomez and Escobar are unable to step into full-time roles, the context for Fielder could be seriously affected. Plus, although he is still young, we expect some regression off of good seasons (as we saw with Fielder going from his 50 home run 2007 to his 34 home run 2008). But let's be clear, there are no gray skies here, just less blue. .280-85-35-100-0 in 570 AB |
Analysis:
Prince Fielder tied Ryan Howard for the most RBI in baseball for 2009. Along with Howard, he is the best candidate for a 50 home run season in baseball, but unlike Howard we don't worry about a .250-type batting average in a poor season. One of the things that we like about Prince is the expansion of his on-base game. Prince saw 106 more pitches in 2009 than 2008 (in 3 more games played) which is the equivalent of burning an entire start for an opposing pitcher. And if you don't think this counts, ask a team like the Phillies if they'd have liked to have to go to the bullpen for all those extra pitches. .290-100-45-135-3 in 575 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 7 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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42 |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 135 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Teixeira really enjoyed his first season in pinstripes, and there is no reason to think he won’t enjoy his second. Teixeira's 2009 numbers with the Yankees were nearly identical to the numbers he put up in 2008 with the Braves and Angels, and I expect more of the same in 2010. He is a top notch option for runs, homeruns, and RBI, and always seem to post an average right around .300. As with all the Yankees' starters, batting in the Yanks' formidable line-up and playing at the new Yankee stadium will help him post an impressive stat line. .310-110-40-130-5 in 610 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
What seperates Teixeira from the very elite is his inability to steal bases. He is likely to be the first player off the board who will not post double digit steals. There really isn't anything else negative to say about Teixeira. .290-95-30-110-0 in 580 AB |
Analysis:
Teixeira is one of the safest picks you can make. His consistency makes him a valuable fantasy commodity. I would rather have the fourth or fifth pick in a draft so I can grab Braun or Utley, because the next four or five picks seem interchangeable depending on preference. In auctions, he is a great guy to target, because he won't demand the same attention as some of the other elite options. You are far more likely to get Teixeira at a discounted price than you are to pull in someone like A-Rod or Hanley Ramirez at less than face value. .300-100-35-120-3 in 600 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 8 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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41 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 144 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Cabrera is a truly elite player who can hep you dominate four different categories. Miggy will provide some gaudy numbers in in R, RBI and HR, but he can really help you tyrannize batting average. .325-100-38-120-3 in 615 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Speed. Cabrera runs more like Cecil Fielder than Ricky Henderson, so it's very unlikely he'll ever reach double digit steals. .300-90-30-100-0 in 580 AB |
Analysis:
Cabrera recommitted himself to baseball in the off season and looks to make a huge impact in 2009. Miggy is about as consistent as you can get. Pencil him in for a .315+ average, along with 30+ HR and 100+ RBI & R. If the rumors about his improved conditioning are true, he may even chip in a few steals. There aren't many safer picks on the board than Cabrera, so draft him and reap the rewards all season long. .315-95-35-110-3 in 605 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 10 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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$ |
40 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 191 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Howard is one of the most consistent and best power hitters in all of baseball. Since becoming a full-time player, he has missed 100 runs once (94, in 2007) and has driven in 136 or more each season. After amassing 58 home runs in 2006, Howard has topped 45 each year since. Owners were even rewarded with 8 stolen bases last season. Plug in Ryan Howard and you're already ahead in the power categories. .280-105-50-145-5 in 600 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
There is no reason to think Howard's production will drop off significantly. His BB/K ratio has diminished solely due to his intentional walks decreasing from a high of 37 in 2006 to only 8 in 2009. His BABIP rates are higher than league average, but last year's .325 was lower than his career mark of .327, and in any case, hitters can maintain "abnormal" BABIP season after season. As always with Howard, the question is whether you get the .279 version of 2009, or the .251 version of 2008. In either case, Howard's batting average is significantly worse that that of the other prime first base candidates and on the lower end would be a negative in even deeper leagues. .250-90-40-115-3 in 540 AB |
Analysis:
The possibility that Howard bats .250 keeps us from ranking Howard even higher. Howard's eight steals last season raise the possibility that he could add a small speed component to his arsenal, which would make him even more valuable that old "player-and-a-half" he already is for countable totals. As always, you'll want to plan ahead to insure your batting average in case of the worst case scenario, but Howard is one of the most consistent power hitters in all of baseball. .270-95-45-135-5 in 575 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 11 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
40 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 146 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Gonzalez is a classic power-hitting first baseman. He'll offer elite home run totals, all the while giving you above average RBI and runs. He has a good average for a power guy (.277 in 2009), so he won't hurt you there. If he can get moved to a contender at some point this season, he should find himself among the second-half RBI leaders. He's an excellent candidate to trade for around mid-June. .285-100-45-110-0 in 580 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Don't expect any SB. .275-90-35-100-0 in 550 AB |
Analysis:
Gonzalez is having problems seeing hittable pitches with no protection in the line-up. Instead of drafting the slugger, you may be wise to wait until the trade deadline and deal for him as he'll likely be moved to a contender. Considering the depth at first base, he's over-valued right now. There are similar options for a better value later on (vets Derrek Lee and Lance Berkman or youngster Billy Butler). .280-95-40-105-0 in 570 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 25 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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34 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 169 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Over 162 games Votto should make an impact in average, HR, RBI and runs. None of those totals will be elite numbers, but well above average. Votto's four category production makes him very valuable. .305-95-35-105-10 in 570 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
He's not a speed demon, but he could grab 6 bases or so. Health is the biggest concern with Votto. From bouts of depression to the bumps and bruises of the season, a more realistic game total would be around 140. .290-85-25-90-3 in 520 AB |
Analysis:
Votto showed us last season why he's on the cusp of being among the elite at his position. Joey V posted a .322-82-25-84-4 line, in 131 games last season. Over a full 162, he can do some damage. He could be the perfect target if you miss out on the elite first baseman taken over the first fifteen picks. .300-90-30-95-5 in 550 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 26 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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34 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 190 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Sandoval is only an elite contributor in average, but still provides enough HR, R, and RBI to make an impact across four categories. .330-90-30-100-5 in 585 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Somehow he was able to swipe five bags last season -- don't expect that again. .300-80-20-90-0 in 560 AB |
Analysis:
Sandoval will be among fantasy's best third baseman, and his average draft position is showing it. The 23-year old took a luge leap forward last season and may not see that kind of growth again in 2010. He'll need to significantly improve his numbers again to out-perform his current draft spot. Don't overspend for him. .320-85-25-95-3 in 580 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 32 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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32 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 108 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Youk offers plenty of balance, which is a good thing for any fantasy team. He'll produce very good totals in average, runs, homeruns, and RBI, and he'll even steal a handful of bases. .310-100-30-105-5 in 560 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Youk lacks the upside that some of the other players that you can grab for about the same price or at the same spot in your draft have. He is already very good, but I don't think he's going to get any better. He is a very safe pick with little upside or downside. .295-85-20-90-3 in 480 AB |
Analysis:
Hitting in the heart of the Red Sox order will guarantee Youk plenty of opportunities to drive-in and score runs. While you'll likely want to use him at third, he should qualify at first as well, giving him added flexibility. Nothing flashy, but indeed dependable. .305-95-28-100-5 in 530 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 39 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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31 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 145 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Morneau will slug with the best of them and end up with elite total in HR and RBI. He'll score a very respectable amount of runs (lowest in last four years was 84) and could even chip in with an excellent average. .300-100-40-120-0 in 595 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Morneau's back will be a concern coming into the year, we'll have to wait and see how much this affects his power. He won't do anything in the speed department (4 career steals). He hit .274 last season and will need to see that average go back up to his 2008 and 2006 levels, when he hit .300+. .270-80-28-90-0 in 520 AB |
Analysis:
Although the depth at first base is pretty deep, Morneau represents a really nice value in 2010. Coming off of a back injury that ended his season prematurely, Morneau seems to be flying under the radar going into 2010. Before the injury, Morneau piled up 30 HR and 100 RBI in only 135 games, which had him on pace to be a top-15 player. If he can get his average back up to the .300+ level, there will be little distinction between the Canadian slugger and the higher end first basemen (Cabrera, Fielder and Teixeria). .280-90-33-110-0 in 580 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 38 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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31 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 81 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Morales was one of fantasy's biggest surprises in 2009. He was four category monster and gave you a huge boost in avg., HR, RBI and R all season long. He'll be worth the pick if he can post those numbers again. .300-90-35-105-5 in 580 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
His largest negative is his uncertainty. 2009 was Morales' breakout season, but can the Cuban Clubber do it again? .290-80-25-95-0 in 550 AB |
Analysis:
I have my doubts that Morales will live up to the hype in 2010. He got lucky with his balls in play in 2009 and may have trouble replicating his batting average. It may come back to bite me, but I think there are just better, more proven options available at the position. .295-85-30-100-3 in 570 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 52 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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28 |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 179 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Injuries derailed Berkman's 2009 season, but the slugger still managed a solid .274-73-25-80-7 line in just 460 AB. One need only look at the .312-114-29-106-18 line Berkman laid on the board in 2008 to know what he's capable of producing, and that talent will be available at a bargain price this season. .300-100-33-100-8 in 570 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Berkman is 34 and has a history of injuries, both nagging and major. Betting on Lance to stay on the field for 150-plus games is a risky venture, and it may well be that 2009 was the beginning of the end of Berkman's fine career. .275-75-20-75-3 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
Berkman's injury history is indeed troubling, and the depth at first base this season makes him a very risky option early in your draft's middle rounds. Don't be afraid to grab him if he falls too far, though. .285-90-28-90-5 in 550 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 58 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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28 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 180 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
2009 was a huge resurgence for Lee. He posted his best home run total in years and set a career high with 111 RBI. He is very reliable in the average department, having posted an average of at least .285 in each of his past five seasons, including a .306 mark last season. .300-95-28-105-5 in 590 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Lee's return to being an elite power hitter came out of nowhere last season. It seems very unlikely that he will match his power totals from 2009 in 2010. In fact, prior to last season, Lee was considered by nearly everyone to be a guy firmly on the downside of his career. .285-80-20-85-0 in 500 AB |
Analysis:
Lee’s 2009 was his best season since his huge 2005. Can he repeat that performance? Probably not, but he will come close. The Cubs lineup should be lethal, guaranteeing Lee plenty of opportunities to score runs and drive in his teammates. However, note that stolen bases are no longer part of his game. .295-90-25-100-3 in 570 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 59 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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27 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 67 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
The former hot-prospect-turned-bust has become one of the game's most prolific home run hitters, mashing 39 taters in just 471 at-bats last season. He will once again bat in the middle of what looks like a solid Rays lineup, and he'll have the extra motivation of impending free agency at the end of the '10 campaign. Pena has an exceptional batting eye, and he is a legitimate 40-homer threat who will be available at a bargain price on draft day. .250-95-43-110-5 in 500 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Pena's power is undeniable -- it's what happens on those occasions when the ball doesn't leave the yard that worries us. Carlos has whiffed 329 times over the past two seasons, and his career batting average is a lowly .247. An assortment of injuries has limited him every season, and his career-best total is just 490 at-bats. .230-80-33-90-0 in 420 AB |
Analysis:
If you decide to draft Pena, make sure that you have plenty of high-average hitters in your fantasy stable. Big power numbers are a virtual certainty, but your team BA is bound to take a hit. .240-90-40-105-3 in 480 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 66 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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26 |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 76 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Butler hit an astonishing 51 doubles last season. If he can turn 20% of those into home runs, which he should be able to, Butler will be well worth what ever you shell out to get his services. .305-85-30-100-0 in 610 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
He's only 23 and could still lack season-to-season consistency. .285-75-20-90-0 in 570 AB |
Analysis:
Butler is currently the 14th first baseman coming off the board, around the 90th pick overall, and any improvement from 2009 will have the youngster outperform that draft slot. As it stands, Butler is a solid three category contributor, and if anyone behind him could hit, he'd be more than an average run donor. Butler should be an excellent value in 2010. .295-80-25-95-0 in 600 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 70 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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26 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 98 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Lopez is entering his prime and can build on 25 home runs and 96 RBI from 2009. With Chone Figgins and Casey Kotchman now batting in front of him, he should have more RBI opportunities. .280-85-28-105-3 in 640 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Lopez won't help you out in stolen bases -- that hurts. There's always a possibility that Lopez regresses this season, but it's unlikely. .270-75-23-90-3 in 590 AB |
Analysis:
ose Lopez represents the next tier of second baseman. He hit 25 HR last season, and with Figgins and Ichiro getting base in front of him, he should improve on his career high 96 RBI from 2009. If you miss out on the elite talent at the position (Utley, Kinsler, Philips), Lopez can be had at a better value than the likes of Hill and Pedroia, while producing similar stat lines. .275-80-25-100-3 in 620 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 115 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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20 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 108 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Cantu is a fine natural hitter; heck, he's so good he even wears his batting helmet over his eyes to make things fair. Apart from having one of the worst cap styles in the bigs, Cantu is a pretty solid corner infield option. he plated 100 RBI last season - his second straight with at least 95 ribbies - and batted a strong .289. His homer rate dipped, but after having smacked 29 dingers in '08 and 28 back in '05 there's certainly room for recovery. .290-80-25-105-4 in 620 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Corner infield is one of Fantasy baseball's "power" spots, and 16 dingers just won't cut it. The Marlins pulled Cantu off the scrap heap two seasons ago, and there has to be a reason he was there. Prospects Logan Morrison and Gaby Sanchez may push Cantu for playing time this season. .265-65-15-60-2 in 470 AB. |
Analysis:
Cantu should push his homer numbers up a bit, but it would be surprising to see him knock in a C-note again in 2010. In any event, he should be a good "fall-back" option at the corner infield positions. .280-75-20-85-4 in 540 AB. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 157 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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17 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 90 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Helton will always deliver a spectacular average and playing in this speedy Colorado line-up could foster some RBI. |
Negatives/Downside:
The main two arguments against Helton are his age and position. Expect a drop off in Helton's gaudy 2009 stats due mainly to old age. Also, with first base being the deepest position going into the year, there's no need to spend the kind of money that will be required to attain Helton's services. |
Analysis:
If you’re counting on Todd Helton to recapture his 2009 magic, you’re in store for a rude awakening. In deeper leagues, he can help with average and maybe RBI, but in any 10-team league, consider him nothing more than an old man who is easily frightened by computers. Keep him off your team. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 158 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
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17 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 97 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Over the course of the season LaRoche will help you in runs, average, home runs and RBI. He won't be spectacular in anyone categories, but should be a decent contributor across the board. |
Negatives/Downside:
One of these years his slow start will keep him in a hole all seaosn long. |
Analysis:
You know what you're getting with LaRoche. He'll mash 20+ HR, 80+ RBI and hit for a decent average. So what's not to like? I'm not really sure to tell you the truth, but it seems like he's fallen into the 'Marvin Harrison Zone'. There's nothing fun or exciting about telling people that Adam LaRoche is on your team, so his fantasy value takes a hit because of it. I would stay away from LaRoche come draft time and trade for him around the All-Star break, as he's been a second half player for four years in a row now. Who am I to argue with that kind of trend? |
| Recommended Draft Position: 173 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
16 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 85 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Konerko is still capable of posting good, if unspectacular, numbers at 1B. He rebounded nicely last year from a down year in 2008, and with his HR/FB dropping 1.3%, he stands a good chance of remaining at or around the 28 HR he hit in 2009. A career .277 hitter, Konerko should once again post a solid average. |
Negatives/Downside:
Fantasy owners shouldn't hope for steals from Konerko as he rarely runs. He'll be 34 by Opening Day, so there's reason to expect some decline in his numbers. At this point, it's more likely that Konerko will regress rather than outperform expectations. |
Analysis:
Konerko should be good for another productive season, providing power and a decent batting average. Because he's older and doesn't have the upside of other 1B, he might end up being a nice value pick in many leagues. .270-70-26-85-1 in 530 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 172 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
16 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 104 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
We don't care about many of the thing Loney doesn't do well. As long as he hits where he hits he's pretty safe for 90 RBI and there is always the possibility that he starts putting the ball in the air and getting some home runs in which case he would valuable indeed. .290-75-18-95-53 575ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Loney now has 1617 major league at bats with a .451 career slugging mark. He hits for line drives well, a 21.4% rate, but with very few fly balls - around 35% each season. He's young but as the lawyers say, best evidence is that this what he is. .280-65-13-85-5. 525ABs |
Analysis:
In 2007 for the Dodgers, James Loney, the tall and rangey Dodger first baseman batted for .331 and hit 15 homes runs over 96 games. To many it was a refutation of the single doubt about Loney's ability, whether the doubles he had generated on the minor league level would translate eventually into home runs. Since then of course the home runs have returned to their previous levels and even the doubles have disappeared. In retrospect, those 33 doubles in 98 games in Las Vegas look pretty suspect (If there is a hitters heaven, Las Vegas is there next to the old Dudley Dome in El Paso). Loney's minor league slugging numbers even with that year are a career .430, not far off his major league .451. His ISO dropped last season to unforgivable .115.
Still Loney is big, young and hits for some average and right behind people who can get on-base. He will see some base-runners and some pitches. Thus another 90 RBI season. .280-70-13-90-5 575ABs
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| Recommended Draft Position: 200 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
14 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
He is a hardnosed player who will give you 100%. Unfortunately, that means nothing in the world of fantasy baseball. However, Swisher still makes for a productive fantasy option. He should be able to approach 30 homeruns again hitting from the left side in new Yankee Stadium, and will score plenty of runs and drive in a bunch as well in the vaulted Yanks line-up. |
Negatives/Downside:
Swisher's batting average will kill you. His poor average negates the value he provides in the power categories. He walks a ton, allowing him to maitain a very good OBP, but that doesn't mean much in standard fantasy leagues. He is classic example of a guy who is a more valuable baseball player than a fantasy baseball player. |
Analysis:
Before taking Swisher evaluate your team. If you already seems weak in batting average, it's best to avoid him. However, if you have someone like a Joe Mauer, Ichiro, or Derek Jeter to help solidify your average, and need help in the power categories, Swisher is a very good option. .250-85-30-85-0 in 500 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 197 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
14 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 116 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Jacobs power is really his only asset, he is below average defensively, and has a poor batting eye.
.260-65-25-80 |
Negatives/Downside:
119/36 K/BB ratio, .247 AVG (.218 vs. lefties) in 2008 will put him in a platoon situation. Royals have alot of depth at CI and DH so playing time could be an issue if he stuggles.
.245-60-20-70 |
Analysis:
Jacobs is moving from one pitchers park to another in 2009 (Kauffman Stadium) which was dead last in the American League in HR allowed in 2008. Making matters worse, Jacobs has to learn a whole new league of pitchers which doesn't bode well for a hitter with a career .258 AVG. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 200 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
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$ |
13 |
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0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 99 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Prado played the super-utility role to perfection for the Braves last season, and his season's line of .307-64-11-49-1 in 450 AB brought a smile to his fantasy owners as well. Prado projects as the Braves' everyday second baseman in 2010, and his numbers should improve a it as a result. .305-85-15-75-3 in 500 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Prado will not help your fantasy cause one bit in the stolen base department. .285-55-10-60-1 in 450 AB. |
Analysis:
Prado is a great "filler" pick as your draft winds down. He's similar to Placido Polanco in that he does everything except steal bases. His position eligibility and multi-category contributions make him a must-own in every format -- just make sure you have a few speedsters in your fold. .295-70-13-65-2 in 475 AB. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 221 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
12 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 90 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
In my leagues we refer to players like Casey Blake as warm milk. They do nothing exciting for you, but they always do it and they don't cost much. You never want to reach for this kind of a guy, but if you plug him in (particularly in a year like this where there are few plus third basemen), the position is done. .280-22-85-80-3. 575ABS |
Negatives/Downside:
Warm milk indeed. The problem with warm milk is that when it goes cold, it's pretty sickly. You can work with the .270 or .280 but what if he hits .241 or .257 as he did in 2003 and 2005? .255-65-15-70-3. 500Abs |
Analysis:
Casey Blake's OPS line for his career is one of those fun little oddities. Starting when Blake became a full timer with Cleveland in 2003 (age 29 no less), his OPS has been .723, .839, .746, .835, .777, .830, .773, .832. Something about those .830's in odd years. Of course it doesn't mean a thing.
Blake is one of those guys whose numbers would be quite a lot better were he to bat 4th more of the time. Of course if you are a Dodger fan you don't want this because, although an .830 OPS is perfectly reasonable, you would be giving up a fair amount of runs by making that switch. For better or worse Blake is hitting where he should and where he will and than means we can expect, yet again, somewhere around 80 R's and RBI and 20 HR to go along with a .270-.280 BA. When you think the third basemen have run out in your draft, don't forget Blake because those numbers do work. .270-78-19-80-3. 525Abs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 227 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
11 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 85 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Left-handed, huge and no real competition. Jones has hit 20+ home runs five of the past six seasons, albeit much of that in the minors, and 90+ RBI four times. It's hard to be sanguine about the 24 steals he got between triple-A and the bigs in 2009, double digits seems reasonable. He's 29 so old for his debut, but not that old. .290-75-25-90-10AB 575Abs |
Negatives/Downside:
Even the overwhelming mediocrity of his minor league record doesn't hold up to scrutiny. Hidden within his .258 minor league career batting average is that he didn't even reach a number north of .250 until double-A ball in his sixth (!) minor league season..in hitter-friendly New Britain. Which he followed up on with .244 and .238 on the triple-A level. So he "learned" to hit as 26 year old in triple-A? It's all so improbable. .250-60-20-75-5. 450ABs |
Analysis:
In your upcoming career as a professional gambler, we advise you to avoid bets that start with the phrase "It's not impossible that....." Which is prefatory to noting that it's not impossible that Garrett Jones will repeat his fine 2009 season.
After a minor league career mainly notable for it's length (he turned pro in 1999 and had a grand total of 77 major league at bats prior to 2009), it seemed likely that the post mortem on Jones would be that he owed his minor league longevity to being left-handed. Instead, he moved to the Pirates organization and between triple-A and the bigs hit 33 home runs, drove in 94 and for good measure stole 24 bases (previous career high 10). Jones put up a .939 OPS, a number he hadn't come within 50 points of since double-A ball in 2004 and his minor league numbers are .258/.312/.450. So we repeat..It's not impossible that this is not a one time deal. One can only say, whatever the pod people did with the real Garret Jones, we bet the Pirates would prefer to keep this version.
Which is not to say Jones might not be useful. The man is huge and the power is real. Even players with limited footspeed can steal bases on a semi-regular basis so I don't think you would be crazy to bet on 20 home runs and double digit steals. He's not going to get on-base at .372 (he never did before on any level), but he's likely to get on enough that he could score some runs. Basically his RBI numbers and Rs are in the hands of the other Bucs and it's not impossible that they will do alright. .280-70-23-85-10. 550ABs
|
| Recommended Draft Position: 243 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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$ |
10 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 80 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Johnson is an on base machine. His OBP in 2009 was .426! He is a virtual lock to hit somewhere around .290 and should approch 100 base on balls. Assuming the Yanks do the smart thing and bat him in the two hole, he should score a ton of runs with his on base skills and A-Rod and Tex hitting behind him. The move to new Yankees Stadium will be a treat for the lefty swinger, and the Yanks line-up should really help Johnson boost his numbers. |
Negatives/Downside:
Johnson has an extensive injury history, and is nearly a lock to miss some time. He has never had more than 500 at bats in a season, nor has he hit more than 23 homeruns. His production just doesn't measure up to many of the other options at 1B. If the Yanks decide to move him to the bottom of the order, and bat Cano in the two hole, his numbers will touch a hit as well. |
Analysis:
Johnson is not amongst the elite options at 1B. However, he is a sorely undervalued commodity that you should feel comfortable turning to if you don't get an elite 1B. He definitely makes for a great option to fill your corner infield option. I am big on Johnson for 2010, but track where in the order the Yanks have him hitting in spring training. .285-90-25-75-0 in 475 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 253 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
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$ |
9 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 124 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
He's slightly better than the bottom rung of catchers, but that's about it. |
Negatives/Downside:
Hernandez is below average in basically every category. That should send you in the opposite direction. |
Analysis:
Ramon Hernandez will eventually be on your team this season -- he's always a go-to replacement when your backstop hits the DL. His ability to play first base will give him more at bats than your average catcher, so keep him on the radar for deeper leagues. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 234 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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$ |
9 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 75 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Huff has proven that he has the ability to post 30 plus homerun and 100 plus RBI seasons. 2009 was a down season for Huff, but he has already shown the ability to bounce back after mediocre seasons. In 2007 he hit just .280 with 15 homeruns and 72 RBI. He bounced back to hit .304 with 32 longballs and 108 RBI in 2008. Huff will be a fixture in the heart of the Giants order and is a good candidate to bounce back in 2010. |
Negatives/Downside:
He is far too inconsistent to be relied on, and is coming off of his worst season since he became an everyday starter. At 32, the best is behind him, and we may struggle to improve on what was a disatorous 2009. He moves into a offensively challenged line-up that plays its home games in one of the league's best pitcher's parks. It all adds up to another disappointing season for Huff in 2010. |
Analysis:
The Giants were so desperate to add some power to their offense that they brought in the inconsistent Huff to bat in the middle of their order. Huff really is a huge wildcard. He could put up another season with close to 30 homeruns and a .300 average, or have a season that mirrors his disappointing 2009. I am looking for him to fall somewhere in the middle. .275-70-20-85-0 in 550 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 264 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
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$ |
8 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 83 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
When healthy, Jackson can contribute across the board. In 2008, Jackson was a valuable asset to have in all five categories. He wasn't a superstar in any one stat, he could be a goldmine at the end of NL only drafts. |
Negatives/Downside:
Coming off of valley fever, it's hard to determine how he'll bounce back. It could take him a while to regain all his strength. |
Analysis:
Jackson is coming off a missed season in which he contracted Valley Fever, which is like swing flu... on HGH. He doesn't do anything special, but he'll chip in a handful of home runs and won't kill your average (a career .281 hitter). Don't bother putting him on your draft boards in 10-12 team leagues, but he can have value in deeper leagues as he'll contribute in all 5 categories. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 303 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
6 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 87 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Kotchman always turns in a good average and if your league counts singles, move him up the draft board. |
Negatives/Downside:
He has no power and he's now playing in the hitter's inferno known as Safeco. |
Analysis:
The light-hitting Kotchman is back at home in the AL West. He won't provide much fantasy value, but if you need some average help in deeper leagues, he's your man. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 333 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
5 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 83 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Extremely difficult to strikeout, Murphy was excellent contact and actually hit better in Citifield than elsewhere. Starting first baseman on a good and at least mainly healthy Mets team that is due for a resurgence. As a bonus was a double digits steals guy in the minors. .300-70-15-85-10. 525ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Vulnerable to lefties. Has not show power potential and plays in a tough power park. Not a great defensive first baseman and will lose at-bats both against lefties and for defensive purposes. Really insufficient power to be used as a 1B in most formats. .265-60-10-65-4. 450ABs |
Analysis:
Murphy had bout a season and a half of minor league work out of college before being called to the show and batting a surprising .313. In spring of 2009, Murphy was tried at second base, leading fantasy owners salivating at the prospect of his bringing 1B/OF stats to the middle infield. Alas, not even the 2009 Metropolitans could throw Daniel to the second base lions. So a 1B/OF he remains, just not a very good one.
As of this writing and despite the signing of Mike Jacobs, Murphy appears to the the Mets starting first baseman for 2010. He's an excellent contact-type hitter who rarely strikes out. He batted better at Citifield than on the road by nearly 200 points of OPS. Tough lefties have little problem getting him out, so you should expect he will sit against lefties on a regular basis.
The Mets context should be much better than 2009 with several key players returning from injuries and the bounce back of David Wright. Still Murphy doesn't run much and has very little power. He was a very high average hitter in college (at Jacksonville which has an excellent program) and when allowed to stay in one place, as a professional. His value is limited in CI leagues, and nearly non-existent in mixed leagues even if he does start. .285-50-10-65-5. 475ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 332 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
5 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 88 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Overbay hasn't really made a fantasy impact in three years but if he can recapture some of his former magic, he could help in avg and RBI. |
Negatives/Downside:
He's a negative across the board. |
Analysis:
Overbay underwhelms in almost every offensive category and should be avoided come draft day. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 366 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
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$ |
4 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 100 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
The Cubs enter the season a little unsettled at 2B. Baker should get every opportunity at the bulk of at-bats after performing well upon arrival in North Side. He profiles as someone who can provide a little pop from 2B who is also eligible at 3B. While he slugged only 4 HR in 2009, he showed in 2008 he could do better, and a dip in his HR/FB rate last season supports the notion that he will hit for a bit more pop in 2010. |
Negatives/Downside:
His .288 last season appears to have been inflated by a high BABIP; look for something more in line with his 2008 average of .268. He has stolen bases at a 100% success rate in his career, however he's only attempted 7 steals; he's not a runner. Finally, there's a real risk Baker splits time with Mike Fontenot, and by year's end, prospect Starlin Castro could force his way up, meaning Ryan Theriot could also be in the mix for action at 2B. |
Analysis:
There's a real temptation to project Baker's strong 2009 stint with the Cubs into a full season's complement of ABs and conclude he could be an asset at 2B. However, Baker really is more utility player than legitimate starter. If he begins the season as the nominal starter, look for some correction in his average from last season, a little pop, and no steals - numbers that will make him an inviting target to be nudged aside as the season wears on. .265-40-9-35-1 in 300 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 354 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
4 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 92 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
When he's on, Atkins can mash with the best of them. At his best he'll hit 20+ HR and 100+ RBI, but it's hard to see him doing that again. |
Negatives/Downside:
2009. A stat line of .226-37-9-48-0. That's about as low as you can drop. |
Analysis:
Atkins has always benefited from two things -- Coors Field and steroids. Now, I'm not sure there's any proof of him actually doing steroids, but his 2009 numbers would certainly suggest it. It seems peculiar to me that at age 29, his supposed prime, Atkins could come off a three year average of .305-95-25-110 to the abyss in which he found himself last year. His numbers have declined every year since strict steroid enforcement has been in place, and it would explain this Black Thursday-like plummeting of his numbers. Now he's without the assistance of Coors -- not a receipt for success. Treat Atkins like he has fantasy leprosy, so unless you're Jesus, keep a sound distance away. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 360 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
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$ |
4 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
He has power, that's undeniable. |
Negatives/Downside:
He's aged quickly and won't see many at-bats. |
Analysis:
Blalock has signed a minor league deal with the Rays and will likely serve as an insurance policy for Carlos Pena. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 443 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
2 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 107 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Sanchez posted a solid .289-55-16-56-5 line in 318 at-bats at Triple-A New Orleans last season, and figures to battle for a spot with the big club this spring. He has shown the ability to hit for power and average in the minors, and could even win a starting job if he has a hot spring. .275-50-14-55-5 in 420 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Sanchez is competing with Logan Morrison for the first base job, and veteran Jorge Cantu is also in the mix. Until this logjam breaks, it's difficult to imagine Sanchez seeing anything close to a season's worth of at-bats. .265-30-8-35-2 in 275 AB. |
Analysis:
Watch the Marlins' corner infield situation closely this spring; Cantu figures to have a spot, and the winner of the Sanchez / Morrison battle becomes a decent NL-only option. .270-40-11-45-3 in 350 AB. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 442 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
2 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 72 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
in CI leagues his potential for a good average an excellent runs makes him a viable option. .300-85-8-60-0. 550ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Given the logjam of players and the A's switch of Eric Chvez to first this spring, it seems likely that in addition to his power problems, Barton will face playing time problems. |
Analysis:
Barton came up at age 21 and dazzled people by hitting four home runs in 18 games in an end season cuppa. Then he failed totally the following season when they tried to push him into the starting lineup.
The problem is not that he has no talent as a hitter, because he clearly does. It's that he is now a first baseman with middle infielder power. The last time he slugged over .500 was when he was playing Peoria. In September last year He batted .306, got on at .402 and scored 9 runs. But it's only one month. .280-70-8-60-0. 500ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 381 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
2 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 73 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
DINGERS!!! Davis slugs with the best of them. If he can play every day he'll end up with 30+ HR. If he can do that, expect his RBI totals to increase with it. |
Negatives/Downside:
He has no speed and will severely damage your average. |
Analysis:
In 2009, Davis hit a home run roughly every 18 at bats, which is excellent. Unfortunately, he struck out basically every other at bat. If he could ever figure out some patience at the plate, he’d be a force in fantasy, but things aren’t looking that way. If you can pair him with an elite average producer like Mauer or Ichiro, he’ll be a nice fit, but if you don’t have anyone to pick up the slack, you’ll find yourself dead last in the category. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 161 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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$ |
2 |
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$ |
0.0 (0) |
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Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 70 0 |
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Positives/Upside:
Now in his mid-30s, his best days are well behind him. But, in deeper leagues, he could provide a spark from your CI position. |
Negatives/Downside:
If injuries get the best of him again this year, it could be his last. He's been terribly unproductive the last two years and that trend will more than likely spill over into 2010. |
Analysis:
Injuries have plagued Guillen the last few years, so if he's healthy, a return to form isn't out of the question. Expect Guillen to be in double digit home run range, while posting average numbers in RBI and runs. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 422 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
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Hits: 88 0 |
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Hits: 77 0 |
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Hits: 82 0 |
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Hits: 67 0 |
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Hits: 85 0 |
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