|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 99  0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Crawford's game is speed, speed and more speed, and the 28-year-old set a new career standard by swiping 60 bags last season. This wasn't exactly rarefied air for CC, though, as he has posted 50 or more steals five times in his six full big league seasons. .305-105-15-80-70 in 610 AB
|
Negatives/Downside:
Crawford's on-base skills are rather pedestrian, and he strikes out a lot for a speed merchant. His stolen base success rate dropped off rather dramatically as the season went on last year, raising concerns that he may have been tiring. If his hamstrings act up... .290-90-10-65-50 in 550 AB |
Analysis:
After suffering through an injury-riddled 2008 season, Crawford bounced back nicely last year, whacking 15 homers and batting .305. He's likely to be playing for a big free agent deal this year, and some monster numbers could be in store. .300-100-15-75-65 in 600 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 14 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
 |
$ |
38 |
 |
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 102 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Ellsbury led the majors with 70 steals in 2009 and is a good bet to do so again in 2010. Batting leadoff for the Red Sox all but gaurantees a ton of runs. A batting average right around the .300 mark seems like a strong bet, and Ellsbury's 60 RBI in 2009 is more than you'll get from most lead-off hitters. Now 26, there is a chance that Ellsbury will develop his power some in the coming years and consistently post double digit home run totals. .300-100-10-60-70 in 620 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Obviously 70 stolen bases is extremely valuable from a fantasy perspective, but Ellsbury will help you less in home runs and RBI than any other hitter who commands as much attention as he will. Furthermore, the possibility exists that Ellsbury's 70 steals in 2009 are the most we'll ever see from him. .285-85-3-50-50 in 600 AB |
Analysis:
Ellsbury will single-handedly keep you at the top of the heap in stolen bases. However, don't expect 70 steals again. If you do choose to acquire Ellsbury, be sure you supplement him with a couple of lower end power options later in your draft or auction. .295-90-5-55-65 in 610 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 20 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
35 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 140 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Sizemore is entering his age 27 season, and all indications are that his elbow and other issues have been resolved. He had improved his strikeout rate prior to 2009, and for all the difficulties of 2009, he maintained that improved rate (down to 5:1 from a more dangerous 4:1). Likewise his groundball, flyball and contact rates were largely unchanged. Sizemore didn't take a step back -- he was "just" hurt (tell that to the commish in your money league). That means a great opportunity for you if he is healthy. We have Size going for $33 or 31st, but he's essentially the same player that was the first outfielder taken in many, if not most leagues last year. While due to batting average concerns we couldn't see him as a better prospect than Braun or Kemp for this season, there's no question that if he returned to his 30+/30+ levels, he would earn first-round money. And other than health, there appears to be nothing to keep him from doing so. .290-100-30-100-35 in 650 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
The Russell Branyan signing doesn't in any way fix the potential context problems that all Cleveland hitters will face (including everyone's darling pick Choo). Michael Brantley brings considerable on-base skills to the team, but he has struggled the first time through in both double- and triple-A, and there's every possibility that he will do the same in the show, in which case Sizemore might have less attractive options hitting in front of him (or he even gets moved to the front of the order). It's also not uncommon for players with this type of ailment to lose power. .265-70-20-70-20 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
This is Sizemore's age-27 season, and none of his secondary numbers reflect any diminution of his considerable skills despite a lost season due to injuries. Assuming he is healthy (and all indications are that he will be) he represents a high-end power/speed combination. Batting average is always a concern with Sizemore, but other than last year his career low is .268. That's not a plus, but it's not a huge minus.
The question here is context. The Indians look like a team with a whole lot of nothing on base unless Michael Brantley can succeed right away at the big league level. Other than Shin-Soo Choo, there are no "plus" on-base players and the signing of Russell Branyan is not going to help this. The days of Travis Hafner and V-Mart in their prime and on the Tribe are over. Whatever Sizemore does, it will be without a lot of help. Even with an ideal lineup for Sizemore, with Brantley and Cabrera in front and Choo behind, it's hard to put together enough runs to move his runs and RBI from good up to excellent. .275-95-28-95-35 in 625 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 31 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
33 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 110 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Except for an injury plagued 2007, Jason Bay has delivered at least 101-31-101 every season since 2005 (and hit 26 dingers in 120 games the year before in his first season as a full-timer). He's also delivered double digit steals each year (2007 excepted). While his batting average has been all over the map, Bay has delivered exactly what was advertised season-in and season-out -- power, runs and some bonus steals.
Bay moves from Fenway (but he hit more home runs on the road last season) into a Mets lineup that should at least be healthier than what it was last season (how could it not be?). Despite all the talk that the Metropolitans' new home is depressing offense, in fact, the Mets ranked higher in runs scored at home than on the road. With part of the center field wall being lowered from 16' to 8', perhaps even the home run rates will rebound a bit.
This will be Bay's age-31 season (turning 32 in Sept), and there is no reason to think he will get many fewer opportunities to do damage for his owners. .285-105-30-110-10 in 575 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Despite averaging over 150 games played each year over the last five campaigns, Bay has been nagged by knee and shoulder woes his entire career. His strikeout rates have always been ominous, and they leaped to 30.5% in 2009, his worst marker in five seasons. The season after his previous high water mark on total strikeouts was the 2007 season, where he posted a line of .247-78-21-84-4 in 538 AB. That's his approximate downside in 2010: .250-80-20-85-5 in 530 AB
We don't anticipate that moving back to the Senior circuit after a bit more than a season will affect Bay adversely, but the Met's lineup is weaker than the Red Sox and even if the hitting woes at Citi are exaggerated,it is still not Fenway. As with all hitters of this type, the increase in srikeouts may presage a decline .260-90-24-90-5. 525ABs |
Analysis:
Jason Bay has earned fantasy owners quite a lot over the past five seasons as one of the most consistent 30-100 type outfielders over the period. That he runs a little and runs efficiently has been a nice little bonus for Bay owners. An old rule of thumb says that the later that a player comes up the earlier he burns out and while that may be true of the general population, it's mainly because in general the players who get called up early are the better players. When a good player, like Bay, arrive late (and to be fair, he was 24) there's no real reason to think he'll fade early. Bay has largely been a top notch offensive performer and, despite all the gloom and doom talk, is coming off career highs in both home runs and RBI. Most of the home runs came from on the road, so it is not solely due to Fenway.
The two most important points here are the different context with a hopefully healthy Mets squad and pitcher's park. And the risk associated with Bay due to his injury history and elevated strikeouts from a year ago. We can't recommend reaching for Bay, but in early drafts he is going at a discount, sometimes a severe discount. You'd want to make sure to manage your other risks, but if healthy Bay represents second round talent. .275-95-28-100-10 in 570 AB
|
| Recommended Draft Position: 37 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
31 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 123 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Lind can carry you in RBI and HR, while making a nice impact in average and runs as well. .310-95-43-125-0 in 595 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Consistency. Many question Lind's ability to match his breakout 2009 total. Speed. He has none. .290-85-33-105-0 in 570 AB |
Analysis:
Lind had a breakout 2009, showing an ability to hit for average and power, which makes him a very valuable commodity. Expect Lind to fall anywhere from the late-third to early-sixth round. There are a lot of mixed feelings on him. Some believe that Lind's .301-35-114 is a ceiling for his numbers, but at age 26, I find that hard to believe. Despite no line-up projection, Lind should improve on these numbers as he enters his prime. .300-90-38-115-0 in 590 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 48 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
29 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 105 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Zobrist's power surge continued last season, as the 28-year-old mashed 27 homers and plated 91 RBI. As an added bonus, he swiped 17 bases and drew 91 walks en route to a .405 OBP. While some might be leery of Zobrist's once-light stick coming to life, remember that his power numbers jumped sharply way back in the second half of the '08 season and may be traced to a tweak he made in his swing. Zobrist should once again bat in the middle of the Rays order, and he should keep running as long as Joe Maddon is his manager. He should also be eligible at shortstop, second and the outfield in most leagues. .295-100-28-100-20 in 570 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Tweak, schmeak -- Zobrist had hit just 15 homers and stolen only seven bases in 145 games prior to his breakout 2009 season. While he may be worth a later round pick, his current price makes him too much of a risk. .275-80-18-80-10 in 490 AB |
Analysis:
We think Zobrist will sustain his power numbers, and throw in a good amount of steals as part of the bargain. Check your league roster rules to determine whether Zobrist is eligible at a given position. .285-90-23-90-18 in 540 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 51 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
29 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 90 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Only a three category contributor but will have a huge impact across runs, average and stolen bases. He's a nice compliment to a power heavy team. .330-100-10-50-30 in 630 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
If you need power help, look elsewhere. He's aging, so possible decreased speed or an elevated chance of injury hampers his value. .300-85-3-40-20 in 590 AB |
Analysis:
Ichiro is back at the top of the order and will be a great asset to any fantasy team. What he lacks in power and run producing prowess, he makes it all up in runs, steals, and especially average. I say 'especially average' because his elevated average is extra important because of his volume of at bats. He may be getting up there in years, but still consider him a top-10 outfielder in mixed leagues. .310-90-5-45-25 in 630 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 47 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
29 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 70 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Coming off a down year, Markakis is ripe for a comeback season. At his best, Nick the Greek can be a 5-category superstar. If he can add a few home runs and get the swipes back into double digits, Markakis will be a top-25 performer. .300-100-25-105-10 in 630 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
You can't over look the nose dive his stats took in 2009. There's always the possibility that this is a trend. .285-90-15-90-5 in 600 AB |
Analysis:
Nick Markakis will never disappoint in the fantasy arena -- his 2009 line of .293-94-18-101 is probably his floor. This is the reason many are referring to it as a down year for Markakis. Now entering his prime, Markakis is potentially undervalued coming into 2010. .295-95-20-95-8 in 620 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 55 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
28 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 77 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Getting out of Detroit was exactly what Granderson needed, and to make things that much better, he couldn't have picked a better place to land than with the Yankees. Granderson will develop into an elite outfield option over his next couple of years with the Bombers. His average last year was poor, but each of his previous seasons tell a different story -- he will bounce back. He's young. .280-100-30-90-23 in 620 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Granderson hit just .249 last year, which surely kept him from posting truly sensational numbers. Furthermore, he will likely bat towards the bottom of the Yanks line-up, with Nick Johnson likely filling the two hole. This will limit his opportunities to be on base in front of the Yanks big boppers. He also still can't hit lefties and could end up in a platoon. .255-85-23-70-18 in 560 AB |
Analysis:
Granderson has long been considered one of baseball's most liked players, and his talent cannot be questioned. While he had some great seasons in Detroit, the move to New Yankee Stadium, a hitter's dream, should help him take the next step. He probably bats towards the bottom of the Yanks line-up, but will still see a ton of chances to drive in and score runs, since the Yanks order is so deep. .270-95-28-80-20 in 590 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 56 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
28 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 78 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Choo jumped to everyone's attention in the second half of 2008 when he posted a 1.038 OPS after the break. (Disclaimer: this reviewer loves him some 1.000+ OPS). I can see those who pooh-pooh stats in general and in fact all those .775-.850 OPS numbers start to blend together, but if you were to take a terrific OBP of .400 and a terrific slugging percentage in .550, that would fall 50 points short of 1.000+ It just doesn't happen by accident. He regressed in 2009 (as did Indians as a group), but as they say, he now has that "in his bag."
Given the large amount of speed available this season, it's even more important than ever to get power speed combinations and to not concede outfield power for a one dimensional rabbit. Choo is a good source of steals snagging 20+.
Even a modest improvement in context this season (say a healthy Sizemore and a return to form by Peralta) could easily push last years excellent RBI totals to triple digits. .305-100-25-100-23 in 600 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
There's really very little negative to say about Choo individually. But the Indians are an oddly constructed team with many questions, even beyond the health issues of Grady Sizemore. With the break-up of the management team (replacing Eric Wedge and now moving Mark Shapiro out of the General Manager position) and with many possible moves being discussed each and every day (Kerry Wood, Jhonny Peralta) there's every danger this could turn to one of those "plague ship" years wherein all performances are dragged down. .285-85-18-80-15 in 525 AB |
Analysis:
Choo was one of the few bright lights for the Tribe in 2009. After posting a 1.038 OPS in the second half of 2008, Choo tossed off a respectable .883 last year in a 20/21 season to go along with 86 RBI and 87 runs.
It will take some team help for Choo to improve those numbers. We are cautiously optimistic that Grady Sizemore will be able to return to top form. If Michael Brantley (and his considerable speed and on-base skills) can remain at the top of the lineup and Jhonny Peralta returns to his 2008 form, it could be an excellent season for Choo, particularly if he starts to produce fewer ground balls. Were it not for the context questions, Choo would easily be in the discussion for the second tier of outfielders. .295-95-23-90-20 in 575 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 61 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
27 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 95 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Upton possesses the kind of power and speed combination that makes Fantasy owners drool. He showed his power back in 2007, mashing 24 homers and batting .300 while stealing 22 bases. Recovery from shoulder surgery derailed his power last year, but the 25-year-old still managed to steal 42 bases -- bringing his stolen sacks total to 86 over the past two seasons. He is likely playing for a big free agent deal this season, so the motivation is certainly there to excel. .290-100-20-80-50 in 590 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Upton's slugging percentage actually dropped during the second half of last season, suggesting that maybe the shoulder problem wasn't the only reason for his power outage. Upton's work ethic and attitude have rightly been questioned in the past, and there is reason to believe that he'll never again approach the kind of numbers he posted in '07. .255-75-10-60-35 in 520 AB. |
Analysis:
It's tough to know where to stand with Upton, but one thing is certain: he'll steal a bunch of bases for your fantasy cause. That alone makes him worth a mid-round draft pick, but expecting another .300 season with 20 bombs is a reach. .275-90-15-70-45 in 550 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 62 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
27 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 123 1 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Cruz had a breakout power season in 2009, crushing pitcher after pitcher en route to 33 long flies. The power and speed were new to Cruz, but another season like 2009 and he'll be worth every penny. .265-85-33-85-23 in 530 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Can he do it again? Break out seasons generally come before age 28, which causes more than a few red flags. There's a decent chance that Cruz returns to where he came from, leaving owners frustrated and searching for answers. .245-70-25-70-15 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
Cruz slugged 33 home runs in his first full season of action and looks to improve on that total this year. In early mock drafts, Cruz is going around the sixth round, which seems a bit high. He’s a legitimate 20/20 threat, but his low average leaves him below what he should be producing in runs and RBI. If he can become more disciplined at the plate, he’ll increase those totals, but don’t count on it. .255-80-30-80-20 in 500 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 71 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
26 |
|
$ |
13 (2) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 144 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
A lot of positives to go around. Abreu will help in runs, average, RBI, and stolen bases. Not many players can do that. If he can replicate his 2009 HR total (15), he'll end the year as a top-50 performer, who comes at a mere top-100 cost. .290-95-18-95-25 in 570 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Age, but nothing else, really. .280-80-10-70-15 in 520 AB |
Analysis:
Abreu may not have the power yesteryear (curse you, 2005 Home Run Derby!), but he'll be an above average performer in the other four categories. With another year under his belt, expect the stats to decline a little bit, but no so much that he won't be a value. Abreu is in 'unsexy' pick territory and should out perform his ADP/$ value. .285-90-15-90-20 in 555 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 74 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
25 |
|
$ |
20 (1) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 77 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
If Jones can build on his promising 2009, he'll be a true 5-category contributor. Jones is a perfect breakout candidate coming into the year and you can reap the rewards at a pretty good price. .280-90-28-80-18 in 530 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
He's coming off of injury, but how much will that influence his 2010 season? There's the chance that he doesn't come back at full strength and proceeds to struggle. .260-75-18-65-8 in 440 AB |
Analysis:
Adam Jones was coming into his own last season before a gimpy ankle cut his year short. Pacman (yes, why get rid of ridiculous nickname, when it can just be transferred) is a true five-category contributor and is a legit 25/20 threat. He could take a jump into the elite this year. .275-85-25-75-13 in 500 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 86 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
23 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 89 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Alex Rios has been a tout darling for many seasons now, and although the end results have been mixed, he still retains essentially the same skill set that made you like him in the first place. While not a slugger per se, Rios has some power, and his doubles rate show a very mild carpet influence from his time in Toronto (always something to check on double and triple rates). Despite his size, he is genuinely fast and doesn't get thrown out often. Some of what plagued him last season, particularly the end, were a series of small injuries and probably the same malaise that affected many Jays players at the end of the J.P Ricciardi era... Rios now finds himself on a team with a manager that will undoubtedly allow him to run and with an opportunity to make a fresh start. .290-95-23-85-28 in 620 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Rios has 3508 major league at bats, and the glorious prospects held out in front of him by many a tout have never fully materialized. A player of his size (6'5) rarely continues running throughout his career, and last year's 24 steals (after 32 in 2008) probably wasn't entirely the nagging injuries that followed him throughout the campaign. While it's true that Ozzie Guillen is likely to allow his team to run early, often, and at the most inopportune times, it's also possible that he will continue to turn the base-running lights green and then red and then green and... just as he did last season. With Juan Pierre presumably in the steals slot, it's reasonable to expect that Rios will be in a non-running slot, further curtailing his fantasy value. .260-75-15-70-15 in 550 AB |
Analysis:
Alex Rios has always been an intriguing set of fantasy possibilities that has only infrequently turned into fantasy realities. Players of his size often start to replace their running game with a power game and that surely is the best case scenario for Rios. Unfortunately while we have some evidence of declining base-running, we have less evidence of any increase in power or even latent power to come. The most likely scenario is for Rios to continue doing what he has done but run a little less, which means he's likely to be a reasonably replaceable cog in your fantasy team. .280-85-18-80-20 in 580 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 95 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
23 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Hunter won't leave you disappointed in any category. If you are picking a balanced team, Hunter will be an excellent addition. Many believe that Hunter's numbers will start decreasing with his age, but he should have another good season left in him. He'll be available at a discount because of it. .285-85-23-90-20 in 550 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Hunter is always an injury risk, so beware. Also, maybe time does start to catch up to him in 2010. Either way, you won't need to spend too much for him, so it's worth the risk. .265-70-15-75-13 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
Hunter is one of the few five-category contributors that is available after the fifth round. He may not be a "sexy" pick, but he should produce as a low end No. 2 (12-team mixed) fantasy outfielder. .275-78-20-80-18 in 500 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 96 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
22 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 125 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Kubel was excellent last season, chalking up sterling numbers in HR, avg and RBI. The Twins improved their line-up this season, so Kubel could see an improvement in his noticeably low run total (73 in 2009). .300-80-30-105-0 in 560 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Doesn't offer any speed and could lose some playing time if Thome ever catches fire. .275-70-23-95-0 in 500 AB |
Analysis:
Kubel is starting to show the promise which made him one of Minnesota's top prospects just a few years back. He'll split time at DH with Jim Thome and will play the rest of the games in the OF. He's now entering his prime and should make a really nice OF3 or OF4 for any fantasy team. .285-75-25-100-0 in 530 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 122 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 102 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Cuddyer will go up and get his hacks in every time he steps up tot he plate. The former first-round pick has a bit of a career Renaissance in 2009 and should continue being a multi-category threat. .280-95-28-95-5 in 590 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Cuddyer posted stellar totals in HR, R, and RBI in 2009, but there may be some regression now at age 31. .265-80-20-80-3 in 540 AB |
Analysis:
The Twins outfield will feature Michael Cuddyer in right. He went on a hitting tear late in the season and ended up with a career high 32 home runs. Although I don't expect Cuddyer to hit that many home runs this season, he should still put up solid line of .275-92-25-93-5 -- and don't forget that he also is 1B-eligible, having played 34 games there filling in for Morneau last season. .275-90-25-90-5 in 575 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 121 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 99 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
He's slugged 57 homers in 968 Chicago AB or about 30 per 500 AB. Batting in the middle of a rejuvenated White Sox lineup, this means the opportunity to drive in runs in bunches. He gets on base reasonably well, although his batting average is a concern, so he should hold his own on runs. Heel problems can linger for years, but all reports are positive. Off-season wrist surgery was a routine matter to remove pins. .280-35-100-85-5 in 550 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
Quentin hasn't played anything resembling a full season since 2006. Although he is not costing a lot this year, he still represents significant risk and is projected only to be a positive contributor in two categories (although not a net negative in R unless he gets pushed towards the end of the lineup). .250-65-25-70-0 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
When on the field, Carlos Quentin has become a reliable source of power. He is an extreme fly ball hitter, generating only 15.9% line drives for his career (Ryan Howard, for reference, has produced 23.3%). Because of this and despite the fact that he makes excellent contact for a power hitter, it is difficult for him to maintain a reasonable batting average. This makes Quentin a three category contributor and a potential negative in one.
I would certainly project Quentin at 35-40 dingers and 90-100 RBI in a healthy season. But even so, there's a significant risk he would hit .250 or less with next to no steals. It's not Jack Cust exactly, but hardly fantasy gold. He's healthy now and was quite good in a high-power, low-average way at the end of 2009. .260-75-28-90-3 in 450 AB
|
| Recommended Draft Position: 120 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
20 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 106 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Hamilton will hitting in the middle of a potent Texas offense, which will provide him score of opportunity to be a high end producer. He plays at a great home park and without question has the ability to post a huge season -- if he could just stay on the field. .305-100-40-120-10 in 580 AB
|
Negatives/Downside:
He can't stay on the field. Hamilton's injuries will give you fits. He turned in a low 2009 BA (.268) and won't come near his potential output if it doesn't get back to the .290-.300 level. .275-70-28-80-5 in 450 AB |
Analysis:
Josh Hamilton is easily one of baseball’s best talents, but avoid him at all costs in 2010. It’s not a reflection of his talent, but more of an indictment of his health. In his three big league seasons, Hamilton has turned more than 90 games only once -- 2008. That year, Hamilton played 156 games but faded in the second half of the year. Apparently the years of abuse he put on his body makes him unable to put together an entire season of greatness. Unless he comes at a massive discount, select a proven (i.e. safer) performer in his place. .295-80-33-95-8 in 520 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 129 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
|
|
$ |
19 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 78 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Damon will rack up some steals at the top of the Tigers line-up and should still score a decent amount of runs. He's a career .288 hitter and should provide some help there, too. .285-95-18-70-20 in 550 AB |
Negatives/Downside:
He's no longer playing in New York, which not only gave him line-up protection, but a stadium that was set up to his strengths. .270-80-10-55-10 in 480 AB |
Analysis:
Damon's 2009 resurgence may be lost to time now that he's in Detorit and out of the bandbox that is the new Yankee Stadium. Playing in an inferior Tigers line-up will direct impact the amount RBI and runs he'll produce. Without the short porch in right-field, look for a dip in his power totals too. He'll still provide some speed and average help, but don't expect another top-40 season out of him. .275-90-15-65-15 in 530 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 130 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
19 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 291 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
An ideal lead-off hitter, Span brings advanced on-base skills and 20-steal ability to the table. With the Twins adding Orlando Hudson and Jim Thome, he could see a boost in his run total, and he's still young, so there's a reasonable chance of him taking another step forward in HR and SB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Span isn't likely to provide much in the way of power. His BABIP last season was rather high, suggesting a drop in batting average could be in store for 2010. He will also need to avoid letting his walk rate drop again, as it did last season from 2008's level. |
Analysis:
Fantasy owners can probably anticipate a 2010 season similar to 2009's output for Span. Atop the Twins' lineup, Span should have plenty of chances to run and score, giving him significant value in multiple categories. .290-100-8-50-22 in 600 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 168 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
16 |
|
$ |
25 (1) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 43 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
IF he can build upon his terrific rookie season, Reimold will help out in runs, home runs, RBI and SB. Even his average should be a problem, expect it to be in teh .270-.290 range. |
Negatives/Downside:
He's coming off an Achilles' injury which could hamper his speed. There's always the prospect of a sophomore slump. |
Analysis:
Nolan Reimold is going to be a fantasy MVP this season. He's not going to turn heads with his performance, but he'll quietly produce in all five standard categories with an outside shot at being a 20/20 guy. You can nab Reimold at the end of drafts as a fifth outfielder, and he has the potential to be a top-30 guy -- a great value. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 169 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
16 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 67 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
80 is a reach, but he does have 93 steals in 808 major league at-bats, which would be 57 in 500 ABs. Do we have your attention? .300-100-5-65-45SB. 575ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
When you look at someone like Rajai and you see those 44 doubles and a good number of triples you are instructed to nod your head knowingly and say, this is not real power. And then you look at Rajai's Konerko-esque 27 and you stop nodding your head and start shaking it. Rajai's power game is that of Punch and Judy after Punch left to go solo. .280-70-5-50-35SB. 450ABs |
Analysis:
If the only thing that counted in baseball was hitting, Rajai Davis might have hit the major leagues in 2005 as a full-timer and we would have a very different profile here. Instead Davis hit .384 with a .994 OPS in 2002, .308 with a .799 OPS (40 steals) in 2003, .314 with a .812 OPS in 2004 (57 steals) and finally got out of A ball. And it's not that he strikes out or doesn't walk because he makes great contact and has a career .375 OBP in the minors. His major league OBP is artificially low because so much of the time he has come in defensively or as a pinch-hitter or pinch-runner. Situations where few hitters get on base regularly. In his two more or less real shots at playing in 2007 for the Giants last season and last season he got on at .363 and .360 respectively.
Rickey says Rajai is good, and the thing is that Rickey is right. Maybe not 80 steals right. .285-85-5-65-45. 525ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 166 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
16 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 96 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Gomez once tantalized observers with his potential, and he's still only 24. Perhaps a fresh start and change of scenery will allow him to produce as many have always thought he might. As a premium defensive talent, even if he isn't great with the bat, he might get enough ABs to accumulate SBs and runs. |
Negatives/Downside:
There's plenty of reason to be cautious with Gomez. So far, he's shown both a propensity to strike out (20.6% of PA last year) and an allergy to taking walks - two major red flags. Fantasy owners also have little inclination to think he'll produce more than a single-digit HR total. |
Analysis:
It's possible to construct a scenario in which Gomez is a productive fantasy option this season. At the least, he should offer SBs, and between the new start and moving to the easier league, one could argue he's primed for improvement. However, this would require quite a leap of faith. If you need steals later in your draft, Gomez wouldn't be a bad gamble, but don't draft him with any real expectations. .240-70-7-50-35 in 530 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 196 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
14 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
He is a hardnosed player who will give you 100%. Unfortunately, that means nothing in the world of fantasy baseball. However, Swisher still makes for a productive fantasy option. He should be able to approach 30 homeruns again hitting from the left side in new Yankee Stadium, and will score plenty of runs and drive in a bunch as well in the vaulted Yanks line-up. |
Negatives/Downside:
Swisher's batting average will kill you. His poor average negates the value he provides in the power categories. He walks a ton, allowing him to maitain a very good OBP, but that doesn't mean much in standard fantasy leagues. He is classic example of a guy who is a more valuable baseball player than a fantasy baseball player. |
Analysis:
Before taking Swisher evaluate your team. If you already seems weak in batting average, it's best to avoid him. However, if you have someone like a Joe Mauer, Ichiro, or Derek Jeter to help solidify your average, and need help in the power categories, Swisher is a very good option. .250-85-30-85-0 in 500 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 197 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
14 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 55 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
At his best, Wells is a quality 5 category contributor. Unfortunately he hasn't showed that type of ability in years now. |
Negatives/Downside:
I think we all saw the downside in 2009. Wells had the worst season of his career in 2009 and a repeat season will render him pretty useless for fantasy purposes. |
Analysis:
If you want to take a real gamble in the last rounds, you could do worse than Vernon Wells. Wells, of the league's worst contract, has a guaranteed spot in the middle of the line-up, and any sort of bounce-back this year will make it a good pick. Being a loyal Blue Jay follower, I have been witness to the deterioration of Wells over the past three seasons. If you want a sure bet of who's on that mysterious list of players who did steroids in the early part of the decade, Wells is your man. Every year since MLB started cracking down on steroids, Wells' numbers have gone down dramatically -- seems like a strange decline from someone supposed to be in his prime. Wells has basically dropped off the fantasy radar this season, with due cause, but a minor comeback into the 20 HR, 80 RBI, .275, 20 SB range isn't out of the question |
| Recommended Draft Position: 186 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
14 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 57 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Gutierrez is speedy and hits at a decent clip. |
Negatives/Downside:
Look for his run production to decrease now that he'll be hitting at the bottom of the order. |
Analysis:
Gutierrez will provide some speed but little else. Now hitting towards the bottom of the order, it's unlikely that he can reproduce his respectable run and RBI totals of 2009. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 184 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
|
|
$ |
13 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 69 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
The Giants were desperate for offense this offseason, so they decided to take a chance on DeRosa. He has been a consistent source of offensive production the past two season, and should continue that trend while batting in the middle of the Giants' order in 2010. He pounded 23 homeruns last season, while collecting 78 runs and 78 RBI. |
Negatives/Downside:
DeRosa's late career power surge was a nice surprise, but don't expect it to continue. He's 35 and moving into a distinct pitcher's park. Furthermore, the Giants offense will be better, but still poor. Furthermore, after his career season in 2008, DeRosa started what is sure to be a swift decline in 2009. Expect that decline to continue in 2010. He has all the makings of being a bust. |
Analysis:
DeRosa's 2008 and 2009 seasons are a lock to be the two best of his career. I don't see him being a complete bust in 2010, but he won't match his 2009 totals, and certainly not his 2008 totals. .265-75-15-75-3 in 520 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 228 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
11 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 55 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Snider is only getting better and could bring some quality stats along with him. If he can raise his average closer to his minor league totals, Snider could be a very nice sleeper. He's full of potential, he just needs to realize it. |
Negatives/Downside:
He continues what he was doing in 2009. He split time between the big club and the minors the last two years and that's definitely a possibility again this season. Unless he significantly improves, he'll be relatively worthless for fantasy purposes. |
Analysis:
here's going to be a breakout candidate from this crew of flunkies, expect it to be Travis Snider. Although reports out of the Jays' camp say that Snider could start the year in AAA, I don't buy it. He's a future superstar, and 2010 will be the perfect opportunity to collect some at-bats -- the Jays are going to be terrible, so what's the difference? I expect this organizational noise is to provide Snider with proper motivation. He'll be there on opining day. If T-Snide can have a breakout sophomore campaign, look for him to be around 20 HR, 85 RBI, .285 and that can be tolerated from a late round flier. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 194 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
11 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 72 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Rivera finally broke through in 2009 and looks to keep it going heading into this season. He'll be an above average producer in runs, home runs, RBI and average. |
Negatives/Downside:
He doesn't reek of quickness and won't help in stolen bases |
Analysis:
Juan Rivera is another cheap source of power in a deep pool of outfielders. Rivera can bash the long ball while still helping in average. He'll be consistent across four categories and is high;y undervalued coming into the season. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 244 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
10 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 101 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Over a full 162 games Matsui will be an above average player in runs, average, RBI, and HR. Hitting in the middle of a speedy Angels line-up Matsui will have the change to drive in close to 100 runs. |
Negatives/Downside:
Durability and age. Matsui will be the primary DH in LA and that should help keep his injuries under wraps for a little while, but any DL stint will cost him more games than some of the younger Angels` players. |
Analysis:
If Hideki Matsui can stay healthy, he'll knock in 90+ runs and hit 25 HR in the middle of this line-up. He'll only qualify at DH, which massively hurts his value, but he can be a cheap source of power coming out of your utility spot. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 255 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 107 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
With Gordon Beckham moving to 2B, Josh Fields in Kansas City, and prospect Dayan Viciedo still a bit away, Teahen has a clear path to regular at-bats. He should be able to parlay them into okay numbers in non-SB categories, maybe with a modest bump in power with the move to U.S. Cellular. An added bonus is that he is eligible at both 3B and in the OF. |
Negatives/Downside:
There was a time when some (especially Royals fans) held out hope Teahen could bring through a bit as a solid power guy at 3B or in an outfield corner. Instead, he's stagnated as "just a guy". He doesn't do anything especially well, and, even more troubling, his SO% and BB% have trended in the wrong directions over the last three years. |
Analysis:
If you're in a normal-size mixed league, there's no reason to concern yourself with Teahen. Those in especially deep mixed or AL-only leagues should keep him in mind as their drafts or auctions start to thin out, since even modest production is better than nothing. .260-60-12-50-6 in 560 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 254 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 67 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Drew has become one of the most consistent and reliable options in the fantasy game. Between 2007-2009, Drew posted three seasons that mirrored each other in nearly everyway. However, he saw a nice bump in homeruns in 2009, hitting 24, the most he has hit since 2004. Drew posts a decent average and walks a lot, promising another year with a solid run total. Drew never met the huge potential he possessed, but he has developed into a solid and reliable fantasy baseball player. |
Negatives/Downside:
Drew is always hurt, which prevents the possibility of another season like 2004 when he hit .305 with 118 runs, 31 homeruns, 93 RBI, and 12 stolen bases. At 34, his career is winding down and the upside is limited. He hasn't produced enough over the past several seasons to excite fantasy owners, and a slide in his totals may be in the cards for 2010. |
Analysis:
Drew is a decent option, but he leaves you thinking, why bother? You are better off looking to someone with more upside at the point Drew's name becomes a possibility at your draft. In auctions, spend the eight bucks on someone with more upside as well. .280-80-20-65-2 in 425 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 267 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
8 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
A healthy Crisp is a useful offensive weapon, particularly if he is allowed to run. In his abbreviated 2009 he stole 13 bases in 49 games which is useful. No guarantee of playing time, but still the same old Coco. .280-75-11-50-25. 500ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Aging, limited power, injury prone, no guaranteed job. What's not to like? .250-50-5-35-15. 350ABs |
Analysis:
In 2004 and 2005 Coco Crisp hit .297 and .300 with double digit home runs leading us and the Red Sox to believe that this is what Covelli actually was. 368 disappointing games later, Coco Crisp moved on to the Royals for yet another injured, and leaves us with the idea that the other Coco Crisp of single digit home runs and the 260 average is the real one. He's now 31 and trying to win some at-bats with the Oakland A's.
The question you have to ask first is if Crisp is healthy and does win a job, can you use .265 8 home runs and 20 steals more or less? If so, God help you...I mean, then Coco is your man! .265-65-8-45-20. 450ABs
|
| Recommended Draft Position: 285 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 95 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
The former number one overall draft pick has produced to straight seasons of strong batting averages. He ended 2009 on a major high note, batting .340 with 4 HR and 18 RBI in his last 26 games. He's always been immensely talented; if he puts things together he could deliver a high average and good power. |
Negatives/Downside:
Young's approach at the plate remains horrific - he drew only 12 walks all season, his SO% increased by more the 5%, and his BB% dropped 2.7%. Even with how he finished the season, it's hard to get too excited about a guy who will swing at just about anything. With over 1800 PA now, one would figure if he was going to produce as he's capable, he would have done so by now. |
Analysis:
The talent is still too good to simply ignore - unless your league is really deep, don't draft him to start, but if you're able to stash him away on your bench, he could be worth having around. Also, be aware that his playing time could decrease if Ron Gardenhire decides to play Jason Kubel a bit more in LF to get Jim Thome ABs at DH. .285-70-15-70-8 in 480 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 287 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 71 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
After three straight solid seasons with the Rangers, Byrd moves to the easier league with a full-time job awaiting him. Last year essentially represented Byrd's upside, showing he is capable of producing in 4 categories (and adding a handful of steals as well). |
Negatives/Downside:
Fantasy owners shouldn't anticipate another 20 HR season from Byrd, as his HR/FB rate was up over his career norm. There's reason to worry about his average as well - his SO% jumped 3% while his BB% decreased by nearly 5%. The Cubs have a knack for having OF signings not turn out well; this could be consistent with the trend. |
Analysis:
As an OF with some offensive ability, Byrd should be given some thought certainly in NL-only leagues, but also in the later rounds of mixed leagues. As long as you don't overpay nor expect too much from him, he should be should be fine as a 3rd OF or backup option. .270-70-12-60-6 in 560 AB |
| Recommended Draft Position: 289 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 74 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Even in an off year with terrible team, Cust was able to garner .240-88-25-70-4. 513ABs which aside from the average is usable in pretty much any league. If Kurt Suzuki can repeat his fine year with Ryan Sweeney and Daric Baton getting on base the way they did the second half, Cust could post some numbers. .250-90-30-80-4. 550ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Another year older and the strikeouts are still dangerously high. Hitters like this fall off the table very quickly and Cust now faces competition for playing time. .235-60-23-55-1. 425ABs |
Analysis:
Cust, the one-and-a-half dimensional slugger was allowed to test the free agent market before being brought back to the Athletics this spring. It was an odd piece of theatre with the glut of older sluggers on the market with no obvious defensive position, Cust attracted little interest and came back to the A's but only after the A's had acquired Jake Fox from the Cubs. Fox is a younger Cust, with impressive minor league credentials, a defensive liability where he is on the field and some questions as to whether he can hit for average.
Cust did what he basically does every year, which is strikeout too much, hit for power and get on base. You know it is bad when you strike out worse than one-in-three, yet improve of your career best by five points.
There's no real reason to expect anything different, but perhpas a little less of it with Jake Fox on board. .240-75-25-70-1. 450ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 290 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 68 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Speed. If Podsednik can keep his average up, he'll be an excellent contributor in runs, SB, and avg. |
Negatives/Downside:
He's old and had disappeared for a few years before last season. Last year could have been an aberration, not a trend. |
Analysis:
If you're team is lacking speed, Scott Podsednik could make a respectable late round pick up. Podsednik had a bit of a Renaissance in 2009, posting four year highs in RBI and average. He'll have the chance to hit atop the Kansas City line-up and should hover around the 30 SB mark again this season. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 284 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 62 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Big strong right handed batter with latent power at age 25. Should be a fixture once he wins a job outright. .285-85-25-95-2. 550ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
Playing time questions, limited experience over double-A ball and some struggles in his call-up. .265 45-15-55-1. .375ABs |
Analysis:
La Porta re-burnished his prospect credentials in 2009 by banging 42 extra base hits in 93 games while hitting .299. One of the key pieces of the Sabathia deal, LaPorta had been expected to man an outfield position or possibly first base for the Tribe in 2010. With the signing of Russell Branyan, there is only the left field position open with LaPorta trying to hold off the speedster Michael Brantley. With Asdrubal Cabrera as the atypical lead-off man in that case, rumblings have already started that LaPorta, who has options, will be sent back to Columbus. It's a situation to watch with the new management team in Cleveland.
LaPorta hit 24 home runs between triple-A and the big league club last season and that's indicative of his excellent power. There was some discussion about a lefty/righty platoon in some situations with the left-handed hitting Travis Hafner. Branyan also batting left, it might be possible for LaPorta to carve out significant at-bats with the three splitting the 1B and DH slots.
LaPorta is probably more of a solid starter prospect than a superstar at this point, but that could provide solid value if he is able to go North with the team. We're disappointed that the Indians signed Branyan, but LaPorta will be given a chance to win the starting left-fielder job.
He's definitely worth a stash as even if he is sent down, he'll be up for significant time later in the season. .270-70-24-75-1. 475ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 286 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 65 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
He's really fast. |
Negatives/Downside:
He may not be a good enough hitter to start ahead of Randy Winn. Take a second to soak that in...yes, Randy Winn. |
Analysis:
As of now, it appears that Winn is going to share at bats with Gardner, which will limit his value some. Furthermore, it seems like a foregone conclusion that the Yanks won't be content with either as an everyday player, and they'll make a trade midseason to acquire a big bat to patrol leftfield. It all adds up to a lot of question marks surrounding Gardner. One thing that is not in question is his ability to steal bases, and that alone will make him worth owning, even in a platoon situation. He is a great guy target late since you know he'll his share of bases, and his value will skyrocket if he emerges as an nearly everyday player. .260-60-3-40-30 in 375 at bats |
| Recommended Draft Position: 307 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
6 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 54 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Borbon came out of the gates running (literally) in 2009. If he carries his momentum into 2010, he'll be a valuable source of steals, average, and runs. He should even crack double digit home runs and maybe 60+ RBI. |
Negatives/Downside:
With only 46 games under his belt, it's tough to know which of his stats, outside of steals, is for real. If he struggles, Borbon could be dropped to the bottom of the line-up order, which would hurt his run production. |
Analysis:
New leadoff man Juilo Borbon should be an excellent table setter. Borbon is a regular Speedy Gonzalez, stealing 19 bases in just 46 games. While it is unknown if he can maintain his stellar average over the course of an entire season, he should still end the year among the league leaders in runs and steals, making him a valuable fantasy commodity. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 175 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
6 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 52 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Dejesus has pretty good consistency. He's posted 70+ runs and RBI the last two seasons and hit double digit home runs over that span as well. |
Negatives/Downside:
His speed has wained and playing for the Royals will eventually suck the soul out of him. |
Analysis:
Avoid The Jesus in mixed leagues, but in AL only he can be a solid contributor in avg, R, RBI and HR. He won't blow you away with any of those totals, but they'll be better than most players in his draft range. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 305 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
6 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 121 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Think of a right-handed Carl Crawford and you get some idea of why folks are so excited about Desmond Jennings. The youngster tore up both Double-A and Triple-A pitching in 2009 to the tune of .318-92-11-62-52 in 497 AB. Oh by the way, he does something Crawford doesn't: draw walks once in a while (.401 OBP)...plus he fanned only 67 times. If he wins a spot in the lineup this spring, he could be a fantasy fixture for years to come. .285-65-10-50-25 in 350 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
The Rays are well-known for holding prospects back, and there's no need to rush Jennings at this point. If (some would use the word "when") the Rays trade Crawford or B.J. Upton, Jennings might be worth a look. Otherwise, he may well open the season at Triple-A. .250-20-4-25-8 in 110 AB. |
Analysis:
It would seem very unlikely that Crawford finishes the season with the Rays (a sad reality of the finances of baseball), but it's just possible that Jennings could win the right field job this spring. He'll have to in order to stick -- the Rays won't keep him around to sit on the bench. Though he's a natural centerfielder, Jennings could make the jump to right if he had to. Jennings is a must-own if he wins a starting job this spring. .275-35-7-40-18 in 200 AB. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 300 |
Recommendation: Go the extra dollar |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 77 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
After a year with the Cubs, Bradley is back to the division where he's had the most career success. If Bradley can keep himself under control, he'll be an excellent source of average and home runs. |
Negatives/Downside:
Common sense. You always need to be on alert for a Bradley meltdown. His season could be in jeopardy any time he gets angry. He's MLB's version of the Incredible Hulk. |
Analysis:
The enigmatic Milton Bradley has all the raw tools, but he's more loco than a night at Senor Frog's. If Bradley can mirror his 2008 campaign in Texas, he'll be an excellent deep league sleeper. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 316 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 64 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
No one disputes that Ankiel has power, but that's about it. |
Negatives/Downside:
Ankiel's average may be so low he could turn out to be a negative player. |
Analysis:
Rick Ankiel and his dinger mashing prowess will man center field and be another Royal who will hurt you more than he helps. A shift to the American League will put Ankiel at a disadvantage to begin with, and his historically low average will become more problematic in 2010. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 315 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 65 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Power. Guillen can be an excellent source of cheap power. |
Negatives/Downside:
He's pretty unstable and has an average that can sink your team |
Analysis:
The always-screwy Jose Guillen will be back to collect his well earned $14 million in 2010. Now without the the aid of PEDs, Guillen is back up to his old tricks -- extended time off to heal himself. Guillen has 20+ HR and 100 RBI potential, but he has a serious effort problem. This usually puts him in a manager's doghouse for at least a few months a year. Save yourself the headache and keep your distance. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 317 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 70 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Pat the Bat was nothing of the kind in 2009, struggling to his worst season as a pro. He managed a mere .588 OPS against lefties, which pales in comparison to his .916 career mark against southpaws. Simply put, Burrell's track record is too long to think he could possibly be this bad again in 2010...so grab him if the price is right. .255-70-28-90-2 in 480 AB. |
Negatives/Downside:
Burrell did not comfortable as the DH, and his futility was so profound it's hard to build a case for a turnaround. He won't be eligible in the outfield to open sthe season, and there are too many cheap power options out there to warrant spending a pick on what looks like a washed-up slugger. .235-45-18-65-0 in 400 AB. |
Analysis:
Burrell should only be drafted in very deep leagues at this point, but there is some potential for a bit of a comeback in 2010. .250-65-25-75-1 in 450 AB. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 300 |
Recommendation: Only at a discount |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 58 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Legitimate mid-20's power and stole 14 bases on the triple-A level where he got on basea at .373 last season. Now 25 Joyce would be a solid, if unspectacular regular if he were to win the job. Maybe if the deal Pena and/or Burrell? .265-65-20-70-10. 550ABs |
Negatives/Downside:
No real reason to think he will win a job. Still a low average hitter with only medium power. There's reason to distrust newly acquired base running from a triple-A player looking for a 'hook.' .250-25-7-25-3. 250ABs |
Analysis:
Joyce earned his way onto the 2008 Tigers by slugging .550 for the Mudhens and striking out nearly every three at-bats. He came over to Tampa in the Edwin Jackson deal and might have been the starter except for some nagging injuries in spring and the signing of Pat Burrell which filled the Rays quotient for slow, strikeout-prone slugger types without a great defensive position.
Joyce is still only 25 and despite cries that he had taken a step back in triple-A he did improve both his strikeout and walk rates and added a few steals to his game (nabbing 14). These are things that a player of this type needs to do, particularly if his triple-A slugging continues to be .482 which doesn't exactly cry out for promotion.
Joyce still faces an uphill battle for playing time and with the Rays (as of this writing) in serious negotiations to bring in Hank Blalock, one has to question whether the organization views him as an option. It's a shame, because he wouldn't be terrible were he to get the chance. .255-30-10-30-5. 325ABs |
| Recommended Draft Position: 319 |
Recommendation: Avoid |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
|
|
Fantasy Baseball » Hitters
Hits: 65 0 |
|
Positives/Upside:
Murphy has power that is just waiting to be unleashed. He'll be a nice pickup in AL only leagues to stash on your bench, waiting for Josh Hamilton to get injured. |
Negatives/Downside:
Playing time. Murphy needs to play to make an impact. |
Analysis:
If there's an injury in the Rangers' outfield, quickly jump on Murphy. He has power that can make a real impact in AL only formats, he just needs the at bats. |
| Recommended Draft Position: 398 |
Recommendation: Buy at cost |
|
|
$ |
3 |
|
$ |
0.0 (0) |
|
